
Geopolitical Alpha
An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future
Wiley · Print & ebook · December 22, 2025
Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so.
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- Who it’s for
- A practical lens on geopolitics and markets, built around what policymakers can actually do.
- Themes
- Geopolitics and investment markets, Policy constraints and decision-making, Forecasting investment returns
- Genres
- Investment & Trading Strategies, Political Economy, International Relations
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Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so.
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Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights. Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses: - What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade - Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk - How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.
Constraints Over Noise
A practical lens on geopolitics and markets, built around what policymakers can actually do.
Come here for
- A way to weigh political constraints against public narratives
- Connections between geopolitics, economics, and investment decisions
Expect
- Past-decade examples illustrating the framework
- A focus on material limits, not political speculation
Where it sits
| Investment & Trading Strategies | 43% |
|---|---|
| Political Economy | 34% |
| International Relations | 31% |
Percentages are BookFrontier’s reading of the book.
Publisher categories
- Decision-Making & Problem Solving
- International Business
- Portfolio Management
- Authors
- Marko Papic
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- December 22, 2025
- Format
- Print & ebook
- Theme
- Geopolitics and investment markets · Policy constraints and decision-making · Forecasting investment returns
- Reading lane
- Decision-Making & Problem Solving