Why Nobody Believes the Numbers by Al Lewis

Why Nobody Believes the Numbers

Distinguishing Fact From Fiction in Population Health Management

Al Lewis

Wiley · Print & ebook · June 26, 2012

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Who it’s for
A practical look at population-health ROI claims, arithmetic, and vendor accountability.
Themes
Population health outcomes measurement, Evaluating return on investment, Vendor accountability
Genres
Health Insurance, Healthcare Industry, Business Statistics

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About this book

Why Nobody Believes the Numbers introduces a unique viewpoint to population health outcomes measurement: Results/ROIs should be presented as they are, not as we wish they would be. This viewpoint contrasts sharply with vendor/promoter/consultant claims along two very important dimensions: (1) Why Nobody Believes presents outcomes/ROIs achievable right here on this very planet… (2) …calculated using actual data rather than controlled substances.

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Indeed, nowhere in healthcare is it possible to find such sharply contrasting worldviews, methodologies, and grips on reality. Why Nobody Believes the Numbers includes 12 case studies of vendors, carriers, and consultants who were apparently playing hooky the day their teacher covered fifth-grade math, as told by an author whose argument style can be so persuasive that he was once able to convince a resort to sell him a timeshare. The book's lesson: no need to believe what your vendor tells you -- instead you can estimate your own savings using “ingredients you already have in your kitchen.” Don't be intimidated just because you lack a PhD in biostatistics, or even a Masters, Bachelor's, high-school equivalency diploma or up-to-date inspection sticker. Why Nobody Believes the Numbers explains how to determine if the ROIs are real...and why they usually aren't. You'll learn how to: - Figure out whether you are "moving the needle" or just crediting a program with changes that would have happened anyway - Judge whether the ROIs your vendors report are plausible or even arithmetically possible - Synthesize all these insights into RFPs and contracts that truly hold vendors accountable for results

Population Health ROI

A practical look at population-health ROI claims, arithmetic, and vendor accountability.

Come here for

  • Twelve case studies involving vendors, carriers, and consultants
  • Ways to judge whether reported ROIs are plausible or arithmetically possible

Expect

  • Guidance on distinguishing program effects from changes that would have happened anyway
  • Advice on building results accountability into RFPs and contracts

Where it sits

Healthcare Industry34%
Health Insurance28%
Business Statistics22%

Percentages are BookFrontier’s reading of the book.

Publisher categories

  • Health Insurance
  • Public Health
Authors
Al Lewis
Publisher
Wiley
Published
June 26, 2012
Format
Print & ebook
Theme
Population health outcomes measurement · Evaluating return on investment · Vendor accountability
Reading lane
Health Insurance